---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/006489466/Dropbox/Depolicing/SubmissionFiles/FergEff/PolicingOX/RnR Round 2/New Analysis Pt
>  2/FergEffTestsCrime.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  18 May 2022, 10:10:35

. 
. * violent crime with different ferg effs
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg VioRd2 FergEff1 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 655.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity
convergence not achieved
convergence not achieved

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,512
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   48164.73
Log likelihood  = -10384.345                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
      VioRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    FergEff1 |   1.224646   .0295383     8.40   0.000     1.168099     1.28393
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .8671651   .0870635    -1.42   0.156     .7122641    1.055754
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .8331582   .1549722    -0.98   0.326     .5786276    1.199654
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   .9817392   .0474109    -0.38   0.703     .8930777    1.079203
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .9508003   1.149424    -0.04   0.967     .0889346    10.16501
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.236974   .0240414    10.94   0.000      1.19074    1.285003
        615  |   1.269543   .0270446    11.20   0.000     1.217628    1.323672
        616  |   1.403814   .0282343    16.86   0.000     1.349552    1.460257
        617  |   1.312847   .0268538    13.31   0.000     1.261255    1.366548
        618  |   1.359712   .0318501    13.12   0.000     1.298698    1.423592
        619  |   1.327765   .0301199    12.50   0.000     1.270024    1.388131
        620  |   1.279465   .0204753    15.40   0.000     1.239957    1.320232
        621  |   1.290998   .0247659    13.31   0.000     1.243359    1.340463
        622  |    1.15057   .0212302     7.60   0.000     1.109703    1.192942
        623  |   1.140598   .0164768     9.11   0.000     1.108757    1.173353
        624  |   1.173745   .0327428     5.74   0.000     1.111293    1.239707
        625  |    1.03258   .0271543     1.22   0.223     .9807065    1.087196
        626  |   1.236892   .0297286     8.85   0.000     1.179976    1.296553
        627  |    1.25407    .031601     8.98   0.000     1.193638    1.317562
        628  |   1.403788   .0384093    12.40   0.000      1.33049    1.481124
        629  |   1.293285   .0306945    10.84   0.000     1.234503    1.354867
        630  |   1.360054   .0357699    11.69   0.000     1.291723       1.432
        631  |   1.319069   .0294091    12.42   0.000     1.262669    1.377988
        632  |   1.288826   .0279592    11.70   0.000     1.235176    1.344807
        633  |   1.220305   .0306812     7.92   0.000     1.161629    1.281946
        634  |   1.136419    .023378     6.22   0.000      1.09151    1.183175
        635  |   1.170086   .0410122     4.48   0.000     1.092403    1.253294
        636  |   1.138558   .0345991     4.27   0.000     1.072725    1.208431
        637  |   .9621607   .0269632    -1.38   0.169     .9107388    1.016486
        638  |   1.154128   .0274524     6.03   0.000     1.101557    1.209208
        639  |   1.188094   .0233797     8.76   0.000     1.143143    1.234813
        640  |   1.303933   .0298523    11.59   0.000     1.246717    1.363775
        641  |   1.273163   .0297371    10.34   0.000     1.216193    1.332801
        642  |   1.276907   .0297198    10.50   0.000     1.219966    1.336506
        643  |   1.262219   .0254568    11.55   0.000     1.213298    1.313113
        644  |   1.199955   .0257753     8.49   0.000     1.150485    1.251552
        645  |   1.172982   .0304275     6.15   0.000     1.114835     1.23416
        646  |   1.098717   .0287718     3.60   0.000     1.043748    1.156581
        647  |   1.082333   .0285416     3.00   0.003     1.027814    1.139744
        648  |   1.062628   .0390123     1.65   0.098     .9888517    1.141909
        649  |   .9502176   .0286845    -1.69   0.091     .8956279    1.008135
        650  |   1.107206   .0263892     4.27   0.000     1.056674    1.160155
        651  |   1.149253   .0273546     5.84   0.000      1.09687    1.204137
        652  |   1.289916     .03556     9.23   0.000     1.222069    1.361529
        653  |   1.236578    .032676     8.04   0.000     1.174164    1.302309
        654  |   1.246458   .0322527     8.51   0.000      1.18482    1.311303
        655  |          1  (omitted)
        656  |   1.185163    .025507     7.89   0.000      1.13621    1.236225
        657  |    1.18986   .0296012     6.99   0.000     1.133235    1.249315
        658  |    1.09201   .0300068     3.20   0.001     1.034754    1.152435
        659  |   1.081915   .0317828     2.68   0.007     1.021381    1.146036
        660  |   1.106988   .0522329     2.15   0.031     1.009205    1.214246
        661  |   .9291108   .0340938    -2.00   0.045     .8646345    .9983951
        662  |   1.155364   .0338834     4.92   0.000     1.090826     1.22372
        663  |    1.15636   .0330836     5.08   0.000     1.093302    1.223055
        664  |    1.33141   .0437661     8.71   0.000     1.248335    1.420014
        665  |   1.276134   .0395053     7.88   0.000     1.201007     1.35596
        666  |   1.308486    .039452     8.92   0.000     1.233402    1.388141
        667  |   1.324148    .042424     8.76   0.000     1.243555    1.409964
        668  |    1.26662   .0400813     7.47   0.000     1.190448    1.347665
        669  |   1.238271   .0420423     6.29   0.000     1.158552    1.323476
        670  |   1.128483   .0346222     3.94   0.000     1.062624    1.198423
        671  |   1.152373    .037831     4.32   0.000     1.080561    1.228958
        672  |   1.154124    .049483     3.34   0.001     1.061102      1.2553
        673  |   1.052945   .0379465     1.43   0.152     .9811368    1.130008
        674  |   1.190433   .0400459     5.18   0.000     1.114476    1.271567
        675  |   1.221308   .0395484     6.17   0.000     1.146204    1.301334
        676  |   1.307107   .0456722     7.66   0.000     1.220587    1.399759
        677  |   1.324443   .0502543     7.41   0.000      1.22952    1.426695
        678  |   1.345246   .0451505     8.84   0.000     1.259601    1.436715
        679  |   1.327938   .0456702     8.25   0.000     1.241376    1.420536
        680  |   1.283442   .0406789     7.87   0.000     1.206139      1.3657
        681  |   1.294254    .047891     6.97   0.000     1.203712    1.391606
        682  |   1.175141   .0456706     4.15   0.000     1.088953    1.268152
        683  |   1.149371   .0454007     3.52   0.000     1.063745     1.24189
             |
       _cons |   133.7625   49.85903    13.14   0.000     64.42504    277.7242
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).
Note: One or more parameters could not be estimated in 1 bootstrap replicate;
      standard-error estimates include only complete replications.

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,512         .  -10384.34      75    20918.69   21355.85
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg VioRd2 FergEff6 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 661.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity
convergence not achieved
convergence not achieved

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,512
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   48164.72
Log likelihood  = -10384.345                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
      VioRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    FergEff6 |   .9291108   .0340938    -2.00   0.045     .8646345    .9983951
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .8671651   .0870635    -1.42   0.156     .7122641    1.055754
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .8331582   .1549722    -0.98   0.326     .5786276    1.199654
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   .9817392   .0474109    -0.38   0.703     .8930777    1.079203
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .9508003   1.149424    -0.04   0.967     .0889346    10.16501
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.236974   .0240414    10.94   0.000      1.19074    1.285003
        615  |   1.269543   .0270446    11.20   0.000     1.217628    1.323672
        616  |   1.403814   .0282343    16.86   0.000     1.349552    1.460257
        617  |   1.312847   .0268538    13.31   0.000     1.261255    1.366548
        618  |   1.359712   .0318501    13.12   0.000     1.298698    1.423592
        619  |   1.327765   .0301199    12.50   0.000     1.270024    1.388131
        620  |   1.279465   .0204753    15.40   0.000     1.239957    1.320232
        621  |   1.290998   .0247659    13.31   0.000     1.243359    1.340463
        622  |    1.15057   .0212302     7.60   0.000     1.109703    1.192942
        623  |   1.140598   .0164768     9.11   0.000     1.108757    1.173353
        624  |   1.173745   .0327428     5.74   0.000     1.111293    1.239707
        625  |    1.03258   .0271543     1.22   0.223     .9807065    1.087196
        626  |   1.236892   .0297286     8.85   0.000     1.179976    1.296553
        627  |    1.25407    .031601     8.98   0.000     1.193638    1.317562
        628  |   1.403788   .0384093    12.40   0.000      1.33049    1.481124
        629  |   1.293285   .0306945    10.84   0.000     1.234503    1.354867
        630  |   1.360054   .0357699    11.69   0.000     1.291723       1.432
        631  |   1.319069   .0294091    12.42   0.000     1.262669    1.377988
        632  |   1.288826   .0279592    11.70   0.000     1.235176    1.344807
        633  |   1.220305   .0306812     7.92   0.000     1.161629    1.281946
        634  |   1.136419    .023378     6.22   0.000      1.09151    1.183175
        635  |   1.170086   .0410122     4.48   0.000     1.092403    1.253294
        636  |   1.138558   .0345991     4.27   0.000     1.072725    1.208431
        637  |   .9621607   .0269632    -1.38   0.169     .9107388    1.016486
        638  |   1.154128   .0274524     6.03   0.000     1.101557    1.209208
        639  |   1.188094   .0233797     8.76   0.000     1.143143    1.234813
        640  |   1.303933   .0298523    11.59   0.000     1.246717    1.363775
        641  |   1.273163   .0297371    10.34   0.000     1.216193    1.332801
        642  |   1.276907   .0297198    10.50   0.000     1.219966    1.336506
        643  |   1.262219   .0254568    11.55   0.000     1.213298    1.313113
        644  |   1.199955   .0257753     8.49   0.000     1.150485    1.251552
        645  |   1.172982   .0304275     6.15   0.000     1.114835     1.23416
        646  |   1.098717   .0287718     3.60   0.000     1.043748    1.156581
        647  |   1.082333   .0285416     3.00   0.003     1.027814    1.139744
        648  |   1.062628   .0390123     1.65   0.098     .9888517    1.141909
        649  |   .9502176   .0286845    -1.69   0.091     .8956279    1.008135
        650  |   1.107206   .0263892     4.27   0.000     1.056674    1.160155
        651  |   1.149253   .0273546     5.84   0.000      1.09687    1.204137
        652  |   1.289916     .03556     9.23   0.000     1.222069    1.361529
        653  |   1.236578    .032676     8.04   0.000     1.174164    1.302309
        654  |   1.246458   .0322527     8.51   0.000      1.18482    1.311303
        655  |   1.318084   .0324988    11.20   0.000     1.255902    1.383344
        656  |   1.275589    .031275     9.93   0.000      1.21574    1.338383
        657  |   1.280644   .0325778     9.72   0.000     1.218359    1.346114
        658  |   1.175328   .0269852     7.04   0.000     1.123611    1.229426
        659  |   1.164463   .0282189     6.28   0.000     1.110448    1.221106
        660  |   1.191449   .0404274     5.16   0.000      1.11479     1.27338
        661  |          1  (omitted)
        662  |   1.155364   .0338834     4.92   0.000     1.090826     1.22372
        663  |    1.15636   .0330836     5.08   0.000     1.093302    1.223055
        664  |    1.33141   .0437661     8.71   0.000     1.248335    1.420014
        665  |   1.276134   .0395053     7.88   0.000     1.201007     1.35596
        666  |   1.308486    .039452     8.92   0.000     1.233402    1.388141
        667  |   1.324148    .042424     8.76   0.000     1.243555    1.409964
        668  |    1.26662   .0400813     7.47   0.000     1.190448    1.347665
        669  |   1.238271   .0420423     6.29   0.000     1.158552    1.323476
        670  |   1.128483   .0346222     3.94   0.000     1.062624    1.198423
        671  |   1.152373    .037831     4.32   0.000     1.080561    1.228958
        672  |   1.154124    .049483     3.34   0.001     1.061102      1.2553
        673  |   1.052945   .0379465     1.43   0.152     .9811368    1.130008
        674  |   1.190433   .0400459     5.18   0.000     1.114476    1.271567
        675  |   1.221308   .0395484     6.17   0.000     1.146204    1.301334
        676  |   1.307107   .0456722     7.66   0.000     1.220587    1.399759
        677  |   1.324443   .0502543     7.41   0.000      1.22952    1.426695
        678  |   1.345246   .0451505     8.84   0.000     1.259601    1.436715
        679  |   1.327938   .0456702     8.25   0.000     1.241376    1.420536
        680  |   1.283442   .0406789     7.87   0.000     1.206139      1.3657
        681  |   1.294254    .047891     6.97   0.000     1.203712    1.391606
        682  |   1.175141   .0456706     4.15   0.000     1.088953    1.268152
        683  |   1.149371   .0454007     3.52   0.000     1.063745     1.24189
             |
       _cons |   133.7625   49.85903    13.14   0.000     64.42505    277.7242
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).
Note: One or more parameters could not be estimated in 1 bootstrap replicate;
      standard-error estimates include only complete replications.

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,512         .  -10384.34      75    20918.69   21355.85
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg VioRd2 FergEff12 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 667.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,512
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   48171.82
Log likelihood  = -10384.345                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
      VioRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   FergEff12 |   1.324148   .0424204     8.76   0.000     1.243562    1.409956
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .8671651   .0870549    -1.42   0.156     .7122779    1.055733
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .8331582   .1549728    -0.98   0.326     .5786268    1.199655
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   .9817392   .0474077    -0.38   0.703     .8930834    1.079196
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .9508003   1.149359    -0.04   0.967     .0889465    10.16365
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.236974   .0240419    10.94   0.000     1.190739    1.285004
        615  |   1.269543   .0270439    11.20   0.000     1.217629     1.32367
        616  |   1.403814   .0282423    16.86   0.000     1.349537    1.460273
        617  |   1.312847   .0268519    13.31   0.000     1.261259    1.366544
        618  |   1.359712    .031847    13.12   0.000     1.298704    1.423586
        619  |   1.327765   .0301169    12.50   0.000      1.27003    1.388125
        620  |   1.279465   .0204733    15.40   0.000     1.239961    1.320228
        621  |   1.290998   .0247649    13.31   0.000     1.243361     1.34046
        622  |    1.15057   .0212293     7.60   0.000     1.109705     1.19294
        623  |   1.140598   .0164751     9.11   0.000      1.10876     1.17335
        624  |   1.173745   .0327398     5.74   0.000     1.111299      1.2397
        625  |    1.03258   .0271518     1.22   0.223     .9807112    1.087191
        626  |   1.236892   .0297265     8.85   0.000      1.17998    1.296549
        627  |    1.25407   .0316053     8.98   0.000      1.19363    1.317571
        628  |   1.403788   .0384055    12.40   0.000     1.330497    1.481116
        629  |   1.293285   .0306916    10.84   0.000     1.234509    1.354861
        630  |   1.360054   .0357665    11.69   0.000     1.291729    1.431993
        631  |   1.319069   .0294066    12.42   0.000     1.262674    1.377982
        632  |   1.288826   .0279575    11.70   0.000     1.235179    1.344803
        633  |   1.220305   .0306782     7.92   0.000     1.161634    1.281939
        634  |   1.136419   .0233762     6.22   0.000     1.091513    1.183171
        635  |   1.170086   .0410116     4.48   0.000     1.092404    1.253293
        636  |   1.138558   .0345972     4.27   0.000     1.072729    1.208427
        637  |   .9621607   .0269612    -1.38   0.169     .9107425    1.016482
        638  |   1.154128   .0274502     6.03   0.000     1.101562    1.209203
        639  |   1.188094   .0233775     8.76   0.000     1.143147    1.234808
        640  |   1.303933   .0298495    11.59   0.000     1.246722    1.363769
        641  |   1.273163   .0297348    10.34   0.000     1.216198    1.332797
        642  |   1.276907   .0297169    10.50   0.000     1.219972      1.3365
        643  |   1.262219   .0254543    11.55   0.000     1.213303    1.313108
        644  |   1.199955   .0257728     8.49   0.000     1.150489    1.251547
        645  |   1.172982   .0304245     6.15   0.000     1.114841    1.234154
        646  |   1.098717   .0287693     3.60   0.000     1.043753    1.156576
        647  |   1.082333   .0285399     3.00   0.003     1.027817    1.139741
        648  |   1.062628   .0390114     1.65   0.098     .9888532    1.141907
        649  |   .9502176   .0286824    -1.69   0.091     .8956318     1.00813
        650  |   1.107206   .0263869     4.27   0.000     1.056678    1.160151
        651  |   1.149253   .0273544     5.84   0.000     1.096871    1.204137
        652  |   1.289916   .0355646     9.23   0.000      1.22206    1.361539
        653  |   1.236578   .0326744     8.04   0.000     1.174167    1.302306
        654  |   1.246458   .0322497     8.51   0.000     1.184826    1.311297
        655  |   .9248557   .0184035    -3.93   0.000     .8894799    .9616384
        656  |   .8950384   .0192803    -5.15   0.000     .8580363    .9336363
        657  |   .8985857   .0202159    -4.75   0.000     .8598242    .9390946
        658  |    .824689   .0176219    -9.02   0.000     .7908641    .8599607
        659  |   .8170651   .0165532    -9.97   0.000      .785257    .8501616
        660  |   .8360007   .0280779    -5.33   0.000     .7827411    .8928841
        661  |   .7016669   .0169436   -14.67   0.000     .6692317    .7356742
        662  |   .8725338   .0142436    -8.35   0.000     .8450586    .9009022
        663  |   .8732863   .0143104    -8.27   0.000      .845684    .9017895
        664  |   1.005484   .0202739     0.27   0.786     .9665232    1.046016
        665  |   .9637397   .0184886    -1.93   0.054     .9281755    1.000667
        666  |    .988172   .0155505    -0.76   0.450     .9581589    1.019125
        667  |          1  (omitted)
        668  |    1.26662   .0400786     7.47   0.000     1.190453    1.347659
        669  |   1.238271   .0420382     6.30   0.000     1.158559    1.323467
        670  |   1.128483   .0346187     3.94   0.000     1.062631    1.198416
        671  |   1.152373   .0378272     4.32   0.000     1.080568     1.22895
        672  |   1.154124   .0494782     3.34   0.001     1.061111     1.25529
        673  |   1.052945   .0379432     1.43   0.152     .9811429    1.130001
        674  |   1.190433   .0400419     5.18   0.000     1.114483    1.271559
        675  |   1.221308   .0395444     6.17   0.000     1.146211    1.301326
        676  |   1.307107   .0456676     7.67   0.000     1.220596    1.399749
        677  |   1.324443   .0502536     7.41   0.000     1.229522    1.426694
        678  |   1.345246   .0451493     8.84   0.000     1.259603    1.436713
        679  |   1.327938   .0456766     8.25   0.000     1.241365    1.420549
        680  |   1.283442   .0406774     7.87   0.000     1.206142    1.365697
        681  |   1.294254   .0478911     6.97   0.000     1.203712    1.391606
        682  |   1.175141   .0456687     4.15   0.000     1.088956    1.268147
        683  |   1.149371   .0454002     3.52   0.000     1.063746    1.241889
             |
       _cons |   133.7625   50.12737    13.06   0.000     64.17222    278.8183
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,512         .  -10384.34      75    20918.69   21355.85
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg VioRd2 FergEff18 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 673.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,512
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   48171.80
Log likelihood  = -10384.345                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
      VioRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   FergEff18 |   1.052945   .0379432     1.43   0.152     .9811429    1.130001
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .8671651   .0870549    -1.42   0.156     .7122779    1.055733
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .8331582   .1549728    -0.98   0.326     .5786268    1.199655
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   .9817392   .0474077    -0.38   0.703     .8930834    1.079196
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .9508003   1.149359    -0.04   0.967     .0889465    10.16365
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.236974   .0240419    10.94   0.000     1.190739    1.285004
        615  |   1.269543   .0270439    11.20   0.000     1.217629     1.32367
        616  |   1.403814   .0282423    16.86   0.000     1.349537    1.460273
        617  |   1.312847   .0268519    13.31   0.000     1.261259    1.366544
        618  |   1.359712    .031847    13.12   0.000     1.298704    1.423586
        619  |   1.327765   .0301169    12.50   0.000      1.27003    1.388125
        620  |   1.279465   .0204733    15.40   0.000     1.239961    1.320228
        621  |   1.290998   .0247649    13.31   0.000     1.243361    1.340461
        622  |    1.15057   .0212293     7.60   0.000     1.109705     1.19294
        623  |   1.140598   .0164751     9.11   0.000      1.10876     1.17335
        624  |   1.173745   .0327398     5.74   0.000     1.111299      1.2397
        625  |    1.03258   .0271518     1.22   0.223     .9807112    1.087191
        626  |   1.236892   .0297265     8.85   0.000      1.17998    1.296549
        627  |    1.25407   .0316053     8.98   0.000      1.19363    1.317571
        628  |   1.403788   .0384055    12.40   0.000     1.330497    1.481116
        629  |   1.293285   .0306916    10.84   0.000     1.234509    1.354861
        630  |   1.360054   .0357665    11.69   0.000     1.291729    1.431993
        631  |   1.319069   .0294066    12.42   0.000     1.262674    1.377982
        632  |   1.288826   .0279575    11.70   0.000     1.235179    1.344803
        633  |   1.220305   .0306782     7.92   0.000     1.161634    1.281939
        634  |   1.136419   .0233762     6.22   0.000     1.091513    1.183171
        635  |   1.170086   .0410116     4.48   0.000     1.092404    1.253293
        636  |   1.138558   .0345972     4.27   0.000     1.072729    1.208427
        637  |   .9621607   .0269612    -1.38   0.169     .9107425    1.016482
        638  |   1.154128   .0274502     6.03   0.000     1.101562    1.209203
        639  |   1.188094   .0233775     8.76   0.000     1.143147    1.234808
        640  |   1.303933   .0298495    11.59   0.000     1.246722    1.363769
        641  |   1.273163   .0297348    10.34   0.000     1.216198    1.332797
        642  |   1.276907   .0297169    10.50   0.000     1.219972      1.3365
        643  |   1.262219   .0254543    11.55   0.000     1.213303    1.313108
        644  |   1.199955   .0257728     8.49   0.000     1.150489    1.251547
        645  |   1.172982   .0304245     6.15   0.000     1.114841    1.234154
        646  |   1.098717   .0287693     3.60   0.000     1.043753    1.156576
        647  |   1.082333   .0285399     3.00   0.003     1.027817    1.139741
        648  |   1.062628   .0390114     1.65   0.098     .9888532    1.141907
        649  |   .9502176   .0286824    -1.69   0.091     .8956318     1.00813
        650  |   1.107206   .0263869     4.27   0.000     1.056678    1.160151
        651  |   1.149253   .0273544     5.84   0.000     1.096871    1.204137
        652  |   1.289916   .0355646     9.23   0.000      1.22206    1.361539
        653  |   1.236578   .0326744     8.04   0.000     1.174167    1.302306
        654  |   1.246458   .0322497     8.51   0.000     1.184826    1.311297
        655  |   1.163067   .0299797     5.86   0.000     1.105768    1.223336
        656  |    1.12557   .0285799     4.66   0.000     1.070926    1.183003
        657  |   1.130031   .0293929     4.70   0.000     1.073866    1.189134
        658  |   1.037101   .0252427     1.50   0.134      .988788    1.087775
        659  |   1.027514   .0229058     1.22   0.223     .9835857    1.073403
        660  |   1.051326   .0392103     1.34   0.180     .9772172    1.131056
        661  |   .8823927   .0198021    -5.58   0.000     .8444224    .9220704
        662  |   1.097269   .0212778     4.79   0.000     1.056348    1.139775
        663  |   1.098215   .0232711     4.42   0.000     1.053539    1.144786
        664  |   1.264463   .0352819     8.41   0.000     1.197169    1.335541
        665  |   1.211967    .031247     7.46   0.000     1.152245    1.274783
        666  |   1.242692   .0296356     9.11   0.000     1.185944    1.302155
        667  |   1.257566   .0252426    11.42   0.000     1.209052    1.308027
        668  |   1.202931   .0289597     7.67   0.000     1.147489    1.261051
        669  |   1.176008   .0237063     8.04   0.000      1.13045    1.223401
        670  |    1.07174    .018971     3.91   0.000     1.035195    1.109575
        671  |   1.094429   .0187788     5.26   0.000     1.058235     1.13186
        672  |   1.096091   .0366322     2.75   0.006     1.026595    1.170293
        673  |          1  (omitted)
        674  |   1.190433   .0400419     5.18   0.000     1.114483    1.271559
        675  |   1.221308   .0395444     6.17   0.000     1.146211    1.301326
        676  |   1.307107   .0456676     7.67   0.000     1.220596    1.399749
        677  |   1.324443   .0502536     7.41   0.000     1.229522    1.426694
        678  |   1.345246   .0451493     8.84   0.000     1.259603    1.436713
        679  |   1.327938   .0456766     8.25   0.000     1.241365    1.420549
        680  |   1.283442   .0406774     7.87   0.000     1.206142    1.365697
        681  |   1.294254   .0478911     6.97   0.000     1.203712    1.391606
        682  |   1.175141   .0456687     4.15   0.000     1.088956    1.268147
        683  |   1.149371   .0454002     3.52   0.000     1.063746    1.241889
             |
       _cons |   133.7625   50.12738    13.06   0.000     64.17222    278.8183
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,512         .  -10384.34      75    20918.69   21355.85
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg VioRd2 FergEff24 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 679.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,512
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   48171.80
Log likelihood  = -10384.345                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
      VioRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   FergEff24 |   1.327938   .0456766     8.25   0.000     1.241365    1.420549
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .8671651   .0870549    -1.42   0.156     .7122779    1.055733
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .8331582   .1549728    -0.98   0.326     .5786268    1.199655
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   .9817392   .0474077    -0.38   0.703     .8930834    1.079196
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .9508003   1.149359    -0.04   0.967     .0889465    10.16365
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.236974   .0240419    10.94   0.000     1.190739    1.285004
        615  |   1.269543   .0270439    11.20   0.000     1.217629     1.32367
        616  |   1.403814   .0282423    16.86   0.000     1.349537    1.460273
        617  |   1.312847   .0268519    13.31   0.000     1.261259    1.366544
        618  |   1.359712    .031847    13.12   0.000     1.298704    1.423586
        619  |   1.327765   .0301169    12.50   0.000      1.27003    1.388125
        620  |   1.279465   .0204733    15.40   0.000     1.239961    1.320228
        621  |   1.290998   .0247649    13.31   0.000     1.243361    1.340461
        622  |    1.15057   .0212293     7.60   0.000     1.109705     1.19294
        623  |   1.140598   .0164751     9.11   0.000      1.10876     1.17335
        624  |   1.173745   .0327398     5.74   0.000     1.111299      1.2397
        625  |    1.03258   .0271518     1.22   0.223     .9807112    1.087191
        626  |   1.236892   .0297265     8.85   0.000      1.17998    1.296549
        627  |    1.25407   .0316053     8.98   0.000      1.19363    1.317571
        628  |   1.403788   .0384055    12.40   0.000     1.330497    1.481116
        629  |   1.293285   .0306916    10.84   0.000     1.234509    1.354861
        630  |   1.360054   .0357665    11.69   0.000     1.291729    1.431993
        631  |   1.319069   .0294066    12.42   0.000     1.262674    1.377982
        632  |   1.288826   .0279575    11.70   0.000     1.235179    1.344803
        633  |   1.220305   .0306782     7.92   0.000     1.161634    1.281939
        634  |   1.136419   .0233762     6.22   0.000     1.091513    1.183171
        635  |   1.170086   .0410116     4.48   0.000     1.092404    1.253293
        636  |   1.138558   .0345972     4.27   0.000     1.072729    1.208427
        637  |   .9621607   .0269612    -1.38   0.169     .9107425    1.016482
        638  |   1.154128   .0274502     6.03   0.000     1.101562    1.209203
        639  |   1.188094   .0233775     8.76   0.000     1.143147    1.234808
        640  |   1.303933   .0298495    11.59   0.000     1.246722    1.363769
        641  |   1.273163   .0297348    10.34   0.000     1.216198    1.332797
        642  |   1.276907   .0297169    10.50   0.000     1.219972      1.3365
        643  |   1.262219   .0254543    11.55   0.000     1.213303    1.313108
        644  |   1.199955   .0257728     8.49   0.000     1.150489    1.251547
        645  |   1.172982   .0304245     6.15   0.000     1.114841    1.234154
        646  |   1.098717   .0287693     3.60   0.000     1.043753    1.156576
        647  |   1.082333   .0285399     3.00   0.003     1.027817    1.139741
        648  |   1.062628   .0390114     1.65   0.098     .9888532    1.141907
        649  |   .9502176   .0286824    -1.69   0.091     .8956318     1.00813
        650  |   1.107206   .0263869     4.27   0.000     1.056678    1.160151
        651  |   1.149253   .0273544     5.84   0.000     1.096871    1.204137
        652  |   1.289916   .0355646     9.23   0.000      1.22206    1.361539
        653  |   1.236578   .0326744     8.04   0.000     1.174167    1.302306
        654  |   1.246458   .0322497     8.51   0.000     1.184826    1.311297
        655  |   .9222159   .0239054    -3.12   0.002     .8765325    .9702803
        656  |   .8924838    .024387    -4.16   0.000     .8459435    .9415845
        657  |   .8960209   .0236273    -4.16   0.000     .8508887    .9435471
        658  |   .8223352   .0203874    -7.89   0.000     .7833319    .8632806
        659  |    .814733   .0201485    -8.29   0.000     .7761844    .8551961
        660  |   .8336145   .0326459    -4.65   0.000     .7720236     .900119
        661  |   .6996642   .0215047   -11.62   0.000     .6587602    .7431081
        662  |   .8700434   .0212767    -5.69   0.000     .8293254    .9127605
        663  |   .8707937   .0207734    -5.80   0.000     .8310159    .9124757
        664  |   1.002615   .0258417     0.10   0.919     .9532238    1.054564
        665  |   .9609889   .0246028    -1.55   0.120     .9139581     1.01044
        666  |   .9853515   .0194628    -0.75   0.455     .9479341    1.024246
        667  |   .9971458    .018355    -0.16   0.877     .9618119    1.033778
        668  |   .9538244   .0177382    -2.54   0.011     .9196841     .989232
        669  |   .9324765   .0217205    -3.00   0.003     .8908623    .9760346
        670  |   .8498007   .0175826    -7.87   0.000     .8160287    .8849703
        671  |   .8677911   .0176126    -6.99   0.000     .8339486     .903007
        672  |   .8691095   .0264755    -4.61   0.000     .8187372     .922581
        673  |    .792917    .019547    -9.41   0.000     .7555164    .8321691
        674  |   .8964523    .021069    -4.65   0.000     .8560944    .9387127
        675  |   .9197028   .0188689    -4.08   0.000     .8834541    .9574388
        676  |   .9843129   .0184877    -0.84   0.400     .9487365    1.021223
        677  |   .9973683   .0215562    -0.12   0.903     .9560014    1.040525
        678  |   1.013034   .0175306     0.75   0.454     .9792508    1.047982
        679  |          1  (omitted)
        680  |   1.283442   .0406774     7.87   0.000     1.206142    1.365697
        681  |   1.294254   .0478911     6.97   0.000     1.203712    1.391606
        682  |   1.175141   .0456687     4.15   0.000     1.088956    1.268147
        683  |   1.149371   .0454002     3.52   0.000     1.063746    1.241889
             |
       _cons |   133.7625   50.12738    13.06   0.000     64.17222    278.8183
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,512         .  -10384.34      75    20918.69   21355.85
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg VioRd2 FergEff d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 683.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity
convergence not achieved
convergence not achieved

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,512
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   48164.73
Log likelihood  = -10384.345                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
      VioRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     FergEff |   1.149371   .0454007     3.52   0.000     1.063745     1.24189
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .8671651   .0870635    -1.42   0.156     .7122641    1.055754
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .8331582   .1549722    -0.98   0.326     .5786276    1.199654
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   .9817392   .0474109    -0.38   0.703     .8930777    1.079203
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .9508003   1.149424    -0.04   0.967     .0889346    10.16501
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.236974   .0240414    10.94   0.000      1.19074    1.285003
        615  |   1.269543   .0270446    11.20   0.000     1.217628    1.323672
        616  |   1.403814   .0282343    16.86   0.000     1.349552    1.460257
        617  |   1.312847   .0268538    13.31   0.000     1.261255    1.366548
        618  |   1.359712   .0318501    13.12   0.000     1.298698    1.423592
        619  |   1.327765   .0301199    12.50   0.000     1.270024    1.388131
        620  |   1.279465   .0204753    15.40   0.000     1.239957    1.320232
        621  |   1.290998   .0247659    13.31   0.000     1.243359    1.340463
        622  |    1.15057   .0212302     7.60   0.000     1.109703    1.192942
        623  |   1.140598   .0164768     9.11   0.000     1.108757    1.173353
        624  |   1.173745   .0327428     5.74   0.000     1.111293    1.239707
        625  |    1.03258   .0271543     1.22   0.223     .9807065    1.087196
        626  |   1.236892   .0297286     8.85   0.000     1.179976    1.296553
        627  |    1.25407    .031601     8.98   0.000     1.193638    1.317562
        628  |   1.403788   .0384093    12.40   0.000      1.33049    1.481124
        629  |   1.293285   .0306945    10.84   0.000     1.234503    1.354867
        630  |   1.360054   .0357699    11.69   0.000     1.291723       1.432
        631  |   1.319069   .0294091    12.42   0.000     1.262669    1.377988
        632  |   1.288826   .0279592    11.70   0.000     1.235176    1.344807
        633  |   1.220305   .0306812     7.92   0.000     1.161629    1.281946
        634  |   1.136419    .023378     6.22   0.000      1.09151    1.183175
        635  |   1.170086   .0410122     4.48   0.000     1.092403    1.253294
        636  |   1.138558   .0345991     4.27   0.000     1.072725    1.208431
        637  |   .9621607   .0269632    -1.38   0.169     .9107388    1.016486
        638  |   1.154128   .0274524     6.03   0.000     1.101557    1.209208
        639  |   1.188094   .0233797     8.76   0.000     1.143143    1.234813
        640  |   1.303933   .0298523    11.59   0.000     1.246717    1.363775
        641  |   1.273163   .0297371    10.34   0.000     1.216193    1.332801
        642  |   1.276907   .0297198    10.50   0.000     1.219966    1.336506
        643  |   1.262219   .0254568    11.55   0.000     1.213298    1.313113
        644  |   1.199955   .0257753     8.49   0.000     1.150485    1.251552
        645  |   1.172982   .0304275     6.15   0.000     1.114835     1.23416
        646  |   1.098717   .0287718     3.60   0.000     1.043748    1.156581
        647  |   1.082333   .0285416     3.00   0.003     1.027814    1.139744
        648  |   1.062628   .0390123     1.65   0.098     .9888517    1.141909
        649  |   .9502176   .0286845    -1.69   0.091     .8956279    1.008135
        650  |   1.107206   .0263892     4.27   0.000     1.056674    1.160155
        651  |   1.149253   .0273546     5.84   0.000      1.09687    1.204137
        652  |   1.289916     .03556     9.23   0.000     1.222069    1.361529
        653  |   1.236578    .032676     8.04   0.000     1.174164    1.302309
        654  |   1.246458   .0322527     8.51   0.000      1.18482    1.311303
        655  |   1.065492   .0344287     1.96   0.050     1.000105    1.135153
        656  |    1.03114   .0326894     0.97   0.333     .9690203    1.097243
        657  |   1.035227   .0285815     1.25   0.210     .9806971    1.092789
        658  |   .9500935   .0247319    -1.97   0.049     .9028356    .9998251
        659  |   .9413103   .0260648    -2.18   0.029     .8915858    .9938079
        660  |   .9631252   .0406005    -0.89   0.373     .8867483    1.046081
        661  |   .8083643   .0250767    -6.86   0.000     .7606793    .8590387
        662  |   1.005214   .0275216     0.19   0.849      .952694    1.060629
        663  |   1.006081   .0288871     0.21   0.833     .9510266    1.064322
        664  |   1.158381   .0319954     5.32   0.000     1.097339    1.222819
        665  |   1.110289   .0300014     3.87   0.000     1.053017    1.170675
        666  |   1.138436   .0276258     5.34   0.000     1.085558     1.19389
        667  |   1.152063   .0277015     5.89   0.000     1.099028    1.207656
        668  |   1.102011    .027459     3.90   0.000     1.049485    1.157165
        669  |   1.077346   .0254415     3.15   0.002     1.028618    1.128383
        670  |   .9818261   .0217481    -0.83   0.408     .9401126     1.02539
        671  |   1.002612   .0202397     0.13   0.897      .963717    1.043076
        672  |   1.004135   .0362236     0.11   0.909     .9355896    1.077702
        673  |    .916105   .0210039    -3.82   0.000     .8758494    .9582108
        674  |   1.035725   .0244788     1.49   0.137     .9888421    1.084832
        675  |   1.062588   .0216838     2.97   0.003     1.020927    1.105949
        676  |   1.137236   .0224424     6.52   0.000      1.09409    1.182084
        677  |    1.15232   .0249427     6.55   0.000     1.104456    1.202259
        678  |   1.170419   .0232644     7.92   0.000     1.125699    1.216916
        679  |    1.15536    .023579     7.08   0.000     1.110058    1.202511
        680  |   1.116647   .0205993     5.98   0.000     1.076995     1.15776
        681  |   1.126054   .0157878     8.47   0.000     1.095531    1.157426
        682  |   1.022421   .0123378     1.84   0.066     .9985231    1.046891
        683  |          1  (omitted)
             |
       _cons |   133.7625   49.85903    13.14   0.000     64.42505    277.7242
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).
Note: One or more parameters could not be estimated in 1 bootstrap replicate;
      standard-error estimates include only complete replications.

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,512         .  -10384.34      75    20918.69   21355.85
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. *** Property crime
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg PropRd2 FergEff1 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 655.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,510
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   89470.46
Log likelihood  = -12229.891                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
     PropRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    FergEff1 |   1.324907   .0527918     7.06   0.000     1.225374    1.432525
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .9217368   .0532916    -1.41   0.159     .8229878    1.032334
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .9016287   .1309917    -0.71   0.476      .678207    1.198652
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   1.065665   .0484917     1.40   0.162     .9747384    1.165074
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .4891103   .9003072    -0.39   0.698     .0132616    18.03918
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.220554   .0241206    10.09   0.000     1.174182    1.268757
        615  |   1.276395   .0355122     8.77   0.000     1.208656    1.347931
        616  |   1.391371   .0455786    10.08   0.000     1.304846    1.483634
        617  |   1.376523   .0476081     9.24   0.000     1.286305    1.473068
        618  |     1.4505   .0605873     8.90   0.000     1.336482    1.574246
        619  |   1.485943    .056716    10.38   0.000     1.378837    1.601367
        620  |   1.404863   .0485288     9.84   0.000     1.312897    1.503271
        621  |   1.446587   .0544231     9.81   0.000     1.343757    1.557285
        622  |   1.404468    .042455    11.24   0.000     1.323674    1.490192
        623  |   1.293303   .0398384     8.35   0.000     1.217532     1.37379
        624  |   1.299851   .0507294     6.72   0.000     1.204131    1.403181
        625  |    1.11631   .0325714     3.77   0.000     1.054262    1.182009
        626  |   1.284028   .0391805     8.19   0.000     1.209487    1.363163
        627  |   1.304331   .0430292     8.05   0.000     1.222664    1.391453
        628  |   1.446523   .0391317    13.65   0.000     1.371824    1.525289
        629  |   1.423675   .0508207     9.90   0.000     1.327473    1.526849
        630  |   1.470797   .0568094     9.99   0.000     1.363562    1.586464
        631  |   1.476043   .0520665    11.04   0.000     1.377442    1.581702
        632  |   1.372622   .0456601     9.52   0.000     1.285985    1.465096
        633  |   1.434405   .0457847    11.30   0.000     1.347418    1.527008
        634  |   1.353613   .0428066     9.57   0.000     1.272261    1.440167
        635  |   1.239067   .0379782     6.99   0.000     1.166823    1.315784
        636  |   1.352447   .0575683     7.09   0.000     1.244194    1.470119
        637  |   1.072142   .0392465     1.90   0.057     .9979151    1.151891
        638  |   1.188008   .0405654     5.05   0.000     1.111103    1.270236
        639  |   1.231712   .0438019     5.86   0.000     1.148785    1.320624
        640  |   1.353287   .0437425     9.36   0.000     1.270212    1.441794
        641  |   1.365006   .0492482     8.62   0.000     1.271815    1.465025
        642  |   1.471266   .0525805    10.80   0.000     1.371736    1.578017
        643  |   1.468897   .0608291     9.29   0.000     1.354384    1.593092
        644  |   1.379628   .0528452     8.40   0.000     1.279846     1.48719
        645  |   1.408057   .0529815     9.09   0.000     1.307952    1.515824
        646  |   1.277064   .0468527     6.67   0.000     1.188458    1.372276
        647  |   1.158905    .039003     4.38   0.000     1.084927    1.237927
        648  |   1.243607   .0500082     5.42   0.000     1.149356    1.345588
        649  |   1.011444   .0376408     0.31   0.760     .9402952    1.087975
        650  |    1.12736   .0396487     3.41   0.001     1.052268    1.207811
        651  |   1.162414   .0429275     4.08   0.000      1.08125     1.24967
        652  |   1.295363   .0434906     7.71   0.000     1.212867    1.383471
        653  |   1.309399   .0519163     6.80   0.000     1.211498    1.415211
        654  |   1.340279   .0522772     7.51   0.000     1.241636    1.446758
        655  |          1  (omitted)
        656  |   1.275466   .0497167     6.24   0.000     1.181652    1.376728
        657  |   1.313483   .0490376     7.30   0.000     1.220803    1.413199
        658  |   1.189651   .0425131     4.86   0.000     1.109178    1.275963
        659  |   1.138226   .0361493     4.08   0.000     1.069535    1.211329
        660  |   1.237564   .0561798     4.70   0.000      1.13221    1.352721
        661  |   .9471144   .0378196    -1.36   0.174     .8758157    1.024217
        662  |   1.123973   .0410431     3.20   0.001     1.046341    1.207365
        663  |   1.156194   .0429407     3.91   0.000     1.075022    1.243496
        664  |   1.271579   .0508733     6.01   0.000     1.175678    1.375303
        665  |   1.277682   .0511512     6.12   0.000      1.18126    1.381974
        666  |   1.352081   .0547435     7.45   0.000     1.248932    1.463748
        667  |    1.34079   .0556948     7.06   0.000     1.235955    1.454516
        668  |    1.27422   .0526694     5.86   0.000     1.175061    1.381747
        669  |   1.292563   .0499396     6.64   0.000     1.198297    1.394244
        670  |   1.232547   .0491666     5.24   0.000     1.139853    1.332779
        671  |   1.163998   .0405427     4.36   0.000     1.087187    1.246235
        672  |    1.25172   .0625177     4.50   0.000     1.134994     1.38045
        673  |   1.062543   .0438124     1.47   0.141     .9800503    1.151979
        674  |   1.162192   .0456966     3.82   0.000     1.075992    1.255297
        675  |   1.163276    .045163     3.90   0.000     1.078042    1.255248
        676  |    1.24509   .0517781     5.27   0.000     1.147633    1.350824
        677  |   1.253747   .0540407     5.25   0.000      1.15218    1.364268
        678  |   1.302419   .0585171     5.88   0.000     1.192632    1.422312
        679  |   1.330328   .0601071     6.32   0.000     1.217586    1.453509
        680  |   1.266514   .0541162     5.53   0.000     1.164768    1.377148
        681  |   1.306071   .0525929     6.63   0.000     1.206954    1.413329
        682  |   1.234882   .0538784     4.84   0.000     1.133672    1.345128
        683  |   1.111395   .0436471     2.69   0.007     1.029058    1.200321
             |
       _cons |   82.50455   14.86467    24.49   0.000     57.95872    117.4457
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,510         .  -12229.89      75    24609.78   25046.89
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg PropRd2 FergEff6 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 661.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,510
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   89470.44
Log likelihood  = -12229.891                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
     PropRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    FergEff6 |   .9471144   .0378196    -1.36   0.174     .8758157    1.024217
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .9217368   .0532916    -1.41   0.159     .8229878    1.032334
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .9016287   .1309917    -0.71   0.476      .678207    1.198652
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   1.065665   .0484917     1.40   0.162     .9747384    1.165074
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .4891103   .9003072    -0.39   0.698     .0132616    18.03917
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.220554   .0241206    10.09   0.000     1.174182    1.268757
        615  |   1.276395   .0355122     8.77   0.000     1.208656    1.347931
        616  |   1.391371   .0455786    10.08   0.000     1.304846    1.483634
        617  |   1.376523   .0476081     9.24   0.000     1.286305    1.473068
        618  |     1.4505   .0605873     8.90   0.000     1.336482    1.574246
        619  |   1.485943    .056716    10.38   0.000     1.378837    1.601367
        620  |   1.404863   .0485288     9.84   0.000     1.312897    1.503271
        621  |   1.446587   .0544231     9.81   0.000     1.343757    1.557285
        622  |   1.404468    .042455    11.24   0.000     1.323674    1.490192
        623  |   1.293303   .0398384     8.35   0.000     1.217532     1.37379
        624  |   1.299851   .0507294     6.72   0.000     1.204131    1.403181
        625  |    1.11631   .0325714     3.77   0.000     1.054262    1.182009
        626  |   1.284028   .0391805     8.19   0.000     1.209487    1.363163
        627  |   1.304331   .0430292     8.05   0.000     1.222664    1.391453
        628  |   1.446523   .0391318    13.65   0.000     1.371824    1.525289
        629  |   1.423675   .0508207     9.90   0.000     1.327473    1.526849
        630  |   1.470797   .0568094     9.99   0.000     1.363562    1.586464
        631  |   1.476043   .0520665    11.04   0.000     1.377442    1.581702
        632  |   1.372622   .0456601     9.52   0.000     1.285985    1.465096
        633  |   1.434405   .0457847    11.30   0.000     1.347418    1.527008
        634  |   1.353613   .0428066     9.57   0.000     1.272261    1.440167
        635  |   1.239067   .0379782     6.99   0.000     1.166823    1.315784
        636  |   1.352447   .0575683     7.09   0.000     1.244194    1.470119
        637  |   1.072142   .0392465     1.90   0.057     .9979151    1.151891
        638  |   1.188008   .0405654     5.05   0.000     1.111103    1.270236
        639  |   1.231712   .0438019     5.86   0.000     1.148785    1.320624
        640  |   1.353287   .0437425     9.36   0.000     1.270212    1.441794
        641  |   1.365006   .0492482     8.62   0.000     1.271815    1.465025
        642  |   1.471266   .0525805    10.80   0.000     1.371736    1.578017
        643  |   1.468897   .0608291     9.29   0.000     1.354384    1.593092
        644  |   1.379628   .0528452     8.40   0.000     1.279846     1.48719
        645  |   1.408057   .0529815     9.09   0.000     1.307952    1.515824
        646  |   1.277064   .0468527     6.67   0.000     1.188458    1.372276
        647  |   1.158905    .039003     4.38   0.000     1.084927    1.237927
        648  |   1.243607   .0500082     5.42   0.000     1.149356    1.345588
        649  |   1.011444   .0376408     0.31   0.760     .9402952    1.087975
        650  |    1.12736   .0396487     3.41   0.001     1.052268    1.207811
        651  |   1.162414   .0429275     4.08   0.000      1.08125     1.24967
        652  |   1.295363   .0434906     7.71   0.000     1.212867    1.383471
        653  |   1.309399   .0519163     6.80   0.000     1.211498    1.415211
        654  |   1.340279   .0522772     7.51   0.000     1.241636    1.446758
        655  |   1.398888   .0484224     9.70   0.000      1.30713    1.497088
        656  |   1.346686   .0452059     8.87   0.000     1.260936    1.438268
        657  |   1.386826   .0461379     9.83   0.000     1.299283    1.480268
        658  |    1.25608   .0321182     8.92   0.000     1.194681    1.320634
        659  |   1.201784   .0325297     6.79   0.000     1.139688    1.267262
        660  |   1.306668   .0336374    10.39   0.000     1.242375    1.374287
        661  |          1  (omitted)
        662  |   1.123973   .0410431     3.20   0.001     1.046341    1.207365
        663  |   1.156194   .0429407     3.91   0.000     1.075022    1.243496
        664  |   1.271579   .0508733     6.01   0.000     1.175678    1.375303
        665  |   1.277682   .0511512     6.12   0.000      1.18126    1.381974
        666  |   1.352081   .0547435     7.45   0.000     1.248932    1.463748
        667  |    1.34079   .0556948     7.06   0.000     1.235955    1.454516
        668  |    1.27422   .0526694     5.86   0.000     1.175061    1.381747
        669  |   1.292563   .0499396     6.64   0.000     1.198297    1.394244
        670  |   1.232547   .0491666     5.24   0.000     1.139853    1.332779
        671  |   1.163998   .0405427     4.36   0.000     1.087187    1.246235
        672  |    1.25172   .0625177     4.50   0.000     1.134994     1.38045
        673  |   1.062543   .0438124     1.47   0.141     .9800503    1.151979
        674  |   1.162192   .0456966     3.82   0.000     1.075992    1.255297
        675  |   1.163276    .045163     3.90   0.000     1.078042    1.255248
        676  |    1.24509   .0517781     5.27   0.000     1.147633    1.350824
        677  |   1.253747   .0540407     5.25   0.000      1.15218    1.364268
        678  |   1.302419   .0585171     5.88   0.000     1.192632    1.422312
        679  |   1.330328   .0601071     6.32   0.000     1.217586    1.453509
        680  |   1.266514   .0541162     5.53   0.000     1.164768    1.377148
        681  |   1.306071   .0525929     6.63   0.000     1.206954    1.413329
        682  |   1.234882   .0538784     4.84   0.000     1.133672    1.345128
        683  |   1.111395   .0436471     2.69   0.007     1.029058    1.200321
             |
       _cons |   82.50455   14.86467    24.49   0.000     57.95872    117.4457
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,510         .  -12229.89      75    24609.78   25046.89
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg PropRd2 FergEff12 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 667.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,510
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   89470.45
Log likelihood  = -12229.891                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
     PropRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   FergEff12 |    1.34079   .0556948     7.06   0.000     1.235955    1.454516
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .9217368   .0532916    -1.41   0.159     .8229878    1.032334
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .9016287   .1309917    -0.71   0.476      .678207    1.198652
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   1.065665   .0484917     1.40   0.162     .9747384    1.165074
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .4891103   .9003072    -0.39   0.698     .0132616    18.03917
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.220554   .0241206    10.09   0.000     1.174182    1.268757
        615  |   1.276395   .0355122     8.77   0.000     1.208656    1.347931
        616  |   1.391371   .0455786    10.08   0.000     1.304846    1.483634
        617  |   1.376523   .0476081     9.24   0.000     1.286305    1.473068
        618  |     1.4505   .0605873     8.90   0.000     1.336482    1.574246
        619  |   1.485943    .056716    10.38   0.000     1.378837    1.601367
        620  |   1.404863   .0485288     9.84   0.000     1.312897    1.503271
        621  |   1.446587   .0544231     9.81   0.000     1.343757    1.557285
        622  |   1.404468    .042455    11.24   0.000     1.323674    1.490192
        623  |   1.293303   .0398384     8.35   0.000     1.217532     1.37379
        624  |   1.299851   .0507294     6.72   0.000     1.204131    1.403181
        625  |    1.11631   .0325714     3.77   0.000     1.054262    1.182009
        626  |   1.284028   .0391805     8.19   0.000     1.209487    1.363163
        627  |   1.304331   .0430292     8.05   0.000     1.222664    1.391453
        628  |   1.446523   .0391318    13.65   0.000     1.371824    1.525289
        629  |   1.423675   .0508207     9.90   0.000     1.327473    1.526849
        630  |   1.470797   .0568094     9.99   0.000     1.363562    1.586464
        631  |   1.476043   .0520665    11.04   0.000     1.377442    1.581702
        632  |   1.372622   .0456601     9.52   0.000     1.285985    1.465096
        633  |   1.434405   .0457847    11.30   0.000     1.347418    1.527008
        634  |   1.353613   .0428066     9.57   0.000     1.272261    1.440167
        635  |   1.239067   .0379782     6.99   0.000     1.166823    1.315784
        636  |   1.352447   .0575683     7.09   0.000     1.244194    1.470119
        637  |   1.072142   .0392465     1.90   0.057     .9979151    1.151891
        638  |   1.188008   .0405654     5.05   0.000     1.111103    1.270236
        639  |   1.231712   .0438019     5.86   0.000     1.148785    1.320624
        640  |   1.353287   .0437425     9.36   0.000     1.270212    1.441794
        641  |   1.365006   .0492482     8.62   0.000     1.271815    1.465025
        642  |   1.471266   .0525805    10.80   0.000     1.371736    1.578017
        643  |   1.468897   .0608291     9.29   0.000     1.354384    1.593092
        644  |   1.379628   .0528452     8.40   0.000     1.279846     1.48719
        645  |   1.408057   .0529815     9.09   0.000     1.307952    1.515824
        646  |   1.277064   .0468527     6.67   0.000     1.188458    1.372276
        647  |   1.158905    .039003     4.38   0.000     1.084927    1.237927
        648  |   1.243607   .0500082     5.42   0.000     1.149356    1.345588
        649  |   1.011444   .0376408     0.31   0.760     .9402952    1.087975
        650  |    1.12736   .0396487     3.41   0.001     1.052268    1.207811
        651  |   1.162414   .0429275     4.08   0.000      1.08125     1.24967
        652  |   1.295363   .0434906     7.71   0.000     1.212867    1.383471
        653  |   1.309399   .0519163     6.80   0.000     1.211498    1.415211
        654  |   1.340279   .0522772     7.51   0.000     1.241636    1.446758
        655  |   .9881544   .0172925    -0.68   0.496     .9548364    1.022635
        656  |   .9512797   .0187817    -2.53   0.011     .9151713    .9888127
        657  |   .9796341   .0253936    -0.79   0.427     .9311068    1.030691
        658  |   .8872766   .0196882    -5.39   0.000     .8495155    .9267162
        659  |   .8489225   .0185718    -7.49   0.000     .8132917    .8861143
        660  |   .9230111   .0291142    -2.54   0.011     .8676764    .9818746
        661  |   .7063856   .0220276   -11.15   0.000     .6645051    .7509056
        662  |    .838292    .021867    -6.76   0.000     .7965106     .882265
        663  |   .8623236   .0200381    -6.37   0.000     .8239306    .9025056
        664  |   .9483809   .0192188    -2.62   0.009     .9114509    .9868072
        665  |   .9529323   .0205166    -2.24   0.025     .9135572    .9940045
        666  |   1.008421   .0131273     0.64   0.519     .9830179    1.034481
        667  |          1  (omitted)
        668  |    1.27422   .0526694     5.86   0.000     1.175061    1.381747
        669  |   1.292563   .0499396     6.64   0.000     1.198297    1.394244
        670  |   1.232547   .0491666     5.24   0.000     1.139853    1.332779
        671  |   1.163998   .0405427     4.36   0.000     1.087187    1.246235
        672  |    1.25172   .0625177     4.50   0.000     1.134994     1.38045
        673  |   1.062543   .0438124     1.47   0.141     .9800503    1.151979
        674  |   1.162192   .0456966     3.82   0.000     1.075992    1.255297
        675  |   1.163276    .045163     3.90   0.000     1.078042    1.255248
        676  |    1.24509   .0517781     5.27   0.000     1.147633    1.350824
        677  |   1.253747   .0540407     5.25   0.000      1.15218    1.364268
        678  |   1.302419   .0585171     5.88   0.000     1.192632    1.422312
        679  |   1.330328   .0601071     6.32   0.000     1.217586    1.453509
        680  |   1.266514   .0541162     5.53   0.000     1.164768    1.377148
        681  |   1.306071   .0525929     6.63   0.000     1.206954    1.413329
        682  |   1.234882   .0538784     4.84   0.000     1.133672    1.345128
        683  |   1.111395   .0436471     2.69   0.007     1.029058    1.200321
             |
       _cons |   82.50455   14.86467    24.49   0.000     57.95872    117.4457
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,510         .  -12229.89      75    24609.78   25046.89
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg PropRd2 FergEff18 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 673.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,510
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   89470.43
Log likelihood  = -12229.891                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
     PropRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   FergEff18 |   1.062543   .0438124     1.47   0.141     .9800503    1.151979
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .9217368   .0532916    -1.41   0.159     .8229878    1.032334
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .9016287   .1309917    -0.71   0.476      .678207    1.198652
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   1.065665   .0484917     1.40   0.162     .9747384    1.165074
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .4891103   .9003072    -0.39   0.698     .0132616    18.03917
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.220554   .0241206    10.09   0.000     1.174182    1.268757
        615  |   1.276395   .0355122     8.77   0.000     1.208656    1.347931
        616  |   1.391371   .0455786    10.08   0.000     1.304846    1.483634
        617  |   1.376523   .0476081     9.24   0.000     1.286305    1.473068
        618  |     1.4505   .0605873     8.90   0.000     1.336482    1.574246
        619  |   1.485943    .056716    10.38   0.000     1.378837    1.601367
        620  |   1.404863   .0485288     9.84   0.000     1.312897    1.503271
        621  |   1.446587   .0544231     9.81   0.000     1.343757    1.557285
        622  |   1.404468    .042455    11.24   0.000     1.323674    1.490192
        623  |   1.293303   .0398384     8.35   0.000     1.217532     1.37379
        624  |   1.299851   .0507294     6.72   0.000     1.204131    1.403181
        625  |    1.11631   .0325714     3.77   0.000     1.054262    1.182009
        626  |   1.284028   .0391805     8.19   0.000     1.209487    1.363163
        627  |   1.304331   .0430292     8.05   0.000     1.222664    1.391453
        628  |   1.446523   .0391318    13.65   0.000     1.371824    1.525289
        629  |   1.423675   .0508207     9.90   0.000     1.327473    1.526849
        630  |   1.470797   .0568094     9.99   0.000     1.363562    1.586464
        631  |   1.476043   .0520665    11.04   0.000     1.377442    1.581702
        632  |   1.372622   .0456601     9.52   0.000     1.285985    1.465096
        633  |   1.434405   .0457847    11.30   0.000     1.347418    1.527008
        634  |   1.353613   .0428066     9.57   0.000     1.272261    1.440167
        635  |   1.239067   .0379782     6.99   0.000     1.166823    1.315784
        636  |   1.352447   .0575683     7.09   0.000     1.244194    1.470119
        637  |   1.072142   .0392465     1.90   0.057     .9979151    1.151891
        638  |   1.188008   .0405654     5.05   0.000     1.111103    1.270236
        639  |   1.231712   .0438019     5.86   0.000     1.148785    1.320624
        640  |   1.353287   .0437425     9.36   0.000     1.270212    1.441794
        641  |   1.365006   .0492482     8.62   0.000     1.271815    1.465025
        642  |   1.471266   .0525805    10.80   0.000     1.371736    1.578017
        643  |   1.468897   .0608291     9.29   0.000     1.354384    1.593092
        644  |   1.379628   .0528452     8.40   0.000     1.279846     1.48719
        645  |   1.408057   .0529815     9.09   0.000     1.307952    1.515824
        646  |   1.277064   .0468527     6.67   0.000     1.188458    1.372276
        647  |   1.158905    .039003     4.38   0.000     1.084927    1.237927
        648  |   1.243607   .0500082     5.42   0.000     1.149356    1.345588
        649  |   1.011444   .0376408     0.31   0.760     .9402952    1.087975
        650  |    1.12736   .0396487     3.41   0.001     1.052268    1.207811
        651  |   1.162414   .0429275     4.08   0.000      1.08125     1.24967
        652  |   1.295363   .0434906     7.71   0.000     1.212867    1.383471
        653  |   1.309399   .0519163     6.80   0.000     1.211498    1.415211
        654  |   1.340279   .0522772     7.51   0.000     1.241636    1.446758
        655  |   1.246921   .0388659     7.08   0.000     1.173026    1.325472
        656  |    1.20039   .0362422     6.05   0.000     1.131418    1.273567
        657  |    1.23617   .0400199     6.55   0.000     1.160169    1.317149
        658  |   1.119627   .0284551     4.45   0.000     1.065222     1.17681
        659  |   1.071229   .0280154     2.63   0.009     1.017703     1.12757
        660  |   1.164719   .0328966     5.40   0.000     1.101995    1.231013
        661  |   .8913659   .0174398    -5.88   0.000     .8578316    .9262112
        662  |   1.057815    .018187     3.27   0.001     1.022763    1.094068
        663  |   1.088139   .0208318     4.41   0.000     1.048066    1.129745
        664  |   1.196732    .025035     8.59   0.000     1.148657     1.24682
        665  |   1.202476   .0301565     7.35   0.000     1.144799    1.263058
        666  |   1.272496   .0315287     9.73   0.000     1.212177    1.335816
        667  |   1.261869   .0353141     8.31   0.000     1.194518    1.333017
        668  |   1.199217   .0345983     6.30   0.000     1.133288    1.268983
        669  |   1.216481   .0245155     9.72   0.000     1.169368    1.265492
        670  |   1.159998   .0244901     7.03   0.000     1.112977    1.209004
        671  |   1.095483   .0256343     3.90   0.000     1.046376    1.146896
        672  |   1.178042   .0373907     5.16   0.000      1.10699    1.253654
        673  |          1  (omitted)
        674  |   1.162192   .0456966     3.82   0.000     1.075992    1.255297
        675  |   1.163276    .045163     3.90   0.000     1.078042    1.255248
        676  |    1.24509   .0517781     5.27   0.000     1.147633    1.350824
        677  |   1.253747   .0540407     5.25   0.000      1.15218    1.364268
        678  |   1.302419   .0585171     5.88   0.000     1.192632    1.422312
        679  |   1.330328   .0601071     6.32   0.000     1.217586    1.453509
        680  |   1.266514   .0541162     5.53   0.000     1.164768    1.377148
        681  |   1.306071   .0525929     6.63   0.000     1.206954    1.413329
        682  |   1.234882   .0538784     4.84   0.000     1.133672    1.345128
        683  |   1.111395   .0436471     2.69   0.007     1.029058    1.200321
             |
       _cons |   82.50455   14.86467    24.49   0.000     57.95872    117.4457
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,510         .  -12229.89      75    24609.78   25046.89
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg PropRd2 FergEff24 d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 679.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,510
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   89470.43
Log likelihood  = -12229.891                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
     PropRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   FergEff24 |   1.330328   .0601071     6.32   0.000     1.217586    1.453509
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .9217368   .0532916    -1.41   0.159     .8229878    1.032334
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .9016287   .1309917    -0.71   0.476      .678207    1.198652
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   1.065665   .0484917     1.40   0.162     .9747384    1.165074
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .4891103   .9003072    -0.39   0.698     .0132616    18.03917
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.220554   .0241206    10.09   0.000     1.174182    1.268757
        615  |   1.276395   .0355122     8.77   0.000     1.208656    1.347931
        616  |   1.391371   .0455786    10.08   0.000     1.304846    1.483634
        617  |   1.376523   .0476081     9.24   0.000     1.286305    1.473068
        618  |     1.4505   .0605873     8.90   0.000     1.336482    1.574246
        619  |   1.485943    .056716    10.38   0.000     1.378837    1.601367
        620  |   1.404863   .0485288     9.84   0.000     1.312897    1.503271
        621  |   1.446587   .0544231     9.81   0.000     1.343757    1.557285
        622  |   1.404468    .042455    11.24   0.000     1.323674    1.490192
        623  |   1.293303   .0398384     8.35   0.000     1.217532     1.37379
        624  |   1.299851   .0507294     6.72   0.000     1.204131    1.403181
        625  |    1.11631   .0325714     3.77   0.000     1.054262    1.182009
        626  |   1.284028   .0391805     8.19   0.000     1.209487    1.363163
        627  |   1.304331   .0430292     8.05   0.000     1.222664    1.391453
        628  |   1.446523   .0391318    13.65   0.000     1.371824    1.525289
        629  |   1.423675   .0508207     9.90   0.000     1.327473    1.526849
        630  |   1.470797   .0568094     9.99   0.000     1.363562    1.586464
        631  |   1.476043   .0520665    11.04   0.000     1.377442    1.581702
        632  |   1.372622   .0456601     9.52   0.000     1.285985    1.465096
        633  |   1.434405   .0457847    11.30   0.000     1.347418    1.527008
        634  |   1.353613   .0428066     9.57   0.000     1.272261    1.440167
        635  |   1.239067   .0379782     6.99   0.000     1.166823    1.315784
        636  |   1.352447   .0575683     7.09   0.000     1.244194    1.470119
        637  |   1.072142   .0392465     1.90   0.057     .9979151    1.151891
        638  |   1.188008   .0405654     5.05   0.000     1.111103    1.270236
        639  |   1.231712   .0438019     5.86   0.000     1.148785    1.320624
        640  |   1.353287   .0437425     9.36   0.000     1.270212    1.441794
        641  |   1.365006   .0492482     8.62   0.000     1.271815    1.465025
        642  |   1.471266   .0525805    10.80   0.000     1.371736    1.578017
        643  |   1.468897   .0608291     9.29   0.000     1.354384    1.593092
        644  |   1.379628   .0528452     8.40   0.000     1.279846     1.48719
        645  |   1.408057   .0529815     9.09   0.000     1.307952    1.515824
        646  |   1.277064   .0468527     6.67   0.000     1.188458    1.372276
        647  |   1.158905    .039003     4.38   0.000     1.084927    1.237927
        648  |   1.243607   .0500082     5.42   0.000     1.149356    1.345588
        649  |   1.011444   .0376408     0.31   0.760     .9402952    1.087975
        650  |    1.12736   .0396487     3.41   0.001     1.052268    1.207811
        651  |   1.162414   .0429275     4.08   0.000      1.08125     1.24967
        652  |   1.295363   .0434906     7.71   0.000     1.212867    1.383471
        653  |   1.309399   .0519163     6.80   0.000     1.211498    1.415211
        654  |   1.340279   .0522772     7.51   0.000     1.241636    1.446758
        655  |   .9959253   .0191168    -0.21   0.832      .959153    1.034107
        656  |   .9587605   .0216362    -1.87   0.062     .9172786    1.002118
        657  |   .9873379    .029323    -0.43   0.668     .9315067    1.046516
        658  |   .8942541   .0226478    -4.41   0.000     .8509489    .9397632
        659  |   .8555984   .0214239    -6.23   0.000      .814622    .8986359
        660  |   .9302696   .0351814    -1.91   0.056      .863809    1.001844
        661  |   .7119406   .0262639    -9.21   0.000     .6622812    .7653235
        662  |   .8448843   .0263545    -5.40   0.000     .7947776    .8981499
        663  |   .8691049   .0237721    -5.13   0.000     .8237393    .9169689
        664  |   .9558389   .0247323    -1.75   0.081     .9085731    1.005564
        665  |   .9604262   .0255384    -1.52   0.129     .9116538    1.011808
        666  |   1.016352   .0198853     0.83   0.407      .978115    1.056083
        667  |   1.007864   .0196113     0.40   0.687     .9701503    1.047044
        668  |   .9578238   .0203255    -2.03   0.042     .9188037    .9985011
        669  |   .9716123   .0211867    -1.32   0.187      .930962    1.014037
        670  |   .9264986   .0201246    -3.51   0.000     .8878829    .9667938
        671  |   .8749706   .0185292    -6.31   0.000     .8393973    .9120515
        672  |   .9409106   .0421229    -1.36   0.174     .8618696      1.0272
        673  |   .7987074   .0244198    -7.35   0.000     .7522512    .8480325
        674  |   .8736129   .0215517    -5.48   0.000     .8323773    .9168912
        675  |   .8744279   .0198113    -5.92   0.000      .836448    .9141323
        676  |   .9359275    .017398    -3.56   0.000     .9024418    .9706557
        677  |   .9424349   .0171494    -3.26   0.001      .909415    .9766537
        678  |   .9790211   .0107843    -1.92   0.054     .9581108    1.000388
        679  |          1  (omitted)
        680  |   1.266514   .0541162     5.53   0.000     1.164768    1.377148
        681  |   1.306071   .0525929     6.63   0.000     1.206954    1.413329
        682  |   1.234882   .0538784     4.84   0.000     1.133672    1.345128
        683  |   1.111395   .0436471     2.69   0.007     1.029058    1.200321
             |
       _cons |   82.50455   14.86467    24.49   0.000     57.95872    117.4457
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,510         .  -12229.89      75    24609.78   25046.89
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. xtset PanelID MonthYear, monthly
       panel variable:  PanelID (unbalanced)
        time variable:  MonthYear, 2011m1 to 2016m12, but with gaps
                delta:  1 month

. xtnbreg PropRd2 FergEff d.UnempL d.OffRateL d.DepScore d.PctNonWhtL  ///
> i.MonthYear if NoCov < 1 & weirdcrime < 1, fe irr vce(bootstrap, seed(909) ///
> reps(5000) nodots) 
note: 683.MonthYear omitted because of collinearity

Conditional FE negative binomial regression     Number of obs     =      2,510
Group variable: PanelID                         Number of groups  =         42

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         34
                                                              avg =       59.8
                                                              max =         71

                                                Wald chi2(74)     =   89470.41
Log likelihood  = -12229.891                    Prob > chi2       =     0.0000

                                (Replications based on 42 clusters in PanelID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |   Observed   Bootstrap                         Normal-based
     PropRd2 |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     FergEff |   1.111395   .0436471     2.69   0.007     1.029058    1.200321
             |
      UnempL |
         D1. |   .9217368   .0532916    -1.41   0.159     .8229878    1.032334
             |
    OffRateL |
         D1. |   .9016287   .1309917    -0.71   0.476      .678207    1.198652
             |
    DepScore |
         D1. |   1.065665   .0484917     1.40   0.162     .9747384    1.165074
             |
  PctNonWhtL |
         D1. |   .4891103   .9003072    -0.39   0.698     .0132616    18.03917
             |
   MonthYear |
        614  |   1.220554   .0241206    10.09   0.000     1.174182    1.268757
        615  |   1.276395   .0355122     8.77   0.000     1.208656    1.347931
        616  |   1.391371   .0455786    10.08   0.000     1.304846    1.483634
        617  |   1.376523   .0476081     9.24   0.000     1.286305    1.473068
        618  |     1.4505   .0605873     8.90   0.000     1.336482    1.574246
        619  |   1.485943    .056716    10.38   0.000     1.378837    1.601367
        620  |   1.404863   .0485288     9.84   0.000     1.312897    1.503271
        621  |   1.446587   .0544231     9.81   0.000     1.343757    1.557285
        622  |   1.404468    .042455    11.24   0.000     1.323674    1.490192
        623  |   1.293303   .0398384     8.35   0.000     1.217532     1.37379
        624  |   1.299851   .0507294     6.72   0.000     1.204131    1.403181
        625  |    1.11631   .0325714     3.77   0.000     1.054262    1.182009
        626  |   1.284028   .0391805     8.19   0.000     1.209487    1.363163
        627  |   1.304331   .0430292     8.05   0.000     1.222664    1.391453
        628  |   1.446523   .0391318    13.65   0.000     1.371824    1.525289
        629  |   1.423675   .0508207     9.90   0.000     1.327473    1.526849
        630  |   1.470797   .0568094     9.99   0.000     1.363562    1.586464
        631  |   1.476043   .0520665    11.04   0.000     1.377442    1.581702
        632  |   1.372622   .0456601     9.52   0.000     1.285985    1.465096
        633  |   1.434405   .0457847    11.30   0.000     1.347418    1.527008
        634  |   1.353613   .0428066     9.57   0.000     1.272261    1.440167
        635  |   1.239067   .0379782     6.99   0.000     1.166823    1.315784
        636  |   1.352447   .0575683     7.09   0.000     1.244194    1.470119
        637  |   1.072142   .0392465     1.90   0.057     .9979151    1.151891
        638  |   1.188008   .0405654     5.05   0.000     1.111103    1.270236
        639  |   1.231712   .0438019     5.86   0.000     1.148785    1.320624
        640  |   1.353287   .0437425     9.36   0.000     1.270212    1.441794
        641  |   1.365006   .0492482     8.62   0.000     1.271815    1.465025
        642  |   1.471266   .0525805    10.80   0.000     1.371736    1.578017
        643  |   1.468897   .0608291     9.29   0.000     1.354384    1.593092
        644  |   1.379628   .0528452     8.40   0.000     1.279846     1.48719
        645  |   1.408057   .0529815     9.09   0.000     1.307952    1.515824
        646  |   1.277064   .0468527     6.67   0.000     1.188458    1.372276
        647  |   1.158905    .039003     4.38   0.000     1.084927    1.237927
        648  |   1.243607   .0500082     5.42   0.000     1.149356    1.345588
        649  |   1.011444   .0376408     0.31   0.760     .9402952    1.087975
        650  |    1.12736   .0396487     3.41   0.001     1.052268    1.207811
        651  |   1.162414   .0429275     4.08   0.000      1.08125     1.24967
        652  |   1.295363   .0434906     7.71   0.000     1.212867    1.383471
        653  |   1.309399   .0519163     6.80   0.000     1.211498    1.415211
        654  |   1.340279   .0522772     7.51   0.000     1.241636    1.446758
        655  |   1.192111   .0294541     7.11   0.000     1.135758    1.251261
        656  |   1.147626   .0276237     5.72   0.000     1.094741    1.203065
        657  |   1.181832   .0390584     5.06   0.000     1.107706    1.260919
        658  |   1.070412   .0259255     2.81   0.005     1.020786    1.122451
        659  |   1.024142     .02166     1.13   0.259     .9825567    1.067487
        660  |   1.113522   .0392019     3.05   0.002     1.039279     1.19307
        661  |   .8521849   .0267218    -5.10   0.000      .801388    .9062016
        662  |   1.011317   .0264963     0.43   0.668     .9606961    1.064605
        663  |   1.040309   .0249779     1.65   0.100     .9924871    1.090435
        664  |   1.144129   .0290451     5.30   0.000     1.088594    1.202496
        665  |   1.149619   .0322403     4.97   0.000     1.088135    1.214578
        666  |   1.216562   .0289699     8.23   0.000     1.161086    1.274687
        667  |   1.206402   .0298817     7.58   0.000     1.149234    1.266414
        668  |   1.146504   .0281191     5.57   0.000     1.092696    1.202963
        669  |   1.163009    .024053     7.30   0.000     1.116809    1.211121
        670  |   1.109009   .0241488     4.75   0.000     1.062674    1.157364
        671  |    1.04733   .0194805     2.49   0.013     1.009837    1.086216
        672  |    1.12626   .0438875     3.05   0.002     1.043444    1.215648
        673  |   .9560439   .0238963    -1.80   0.072     .9103367    1.004046
        674  |   1.045705   .0216738     2.16   0.031     1.004076    1.089059
        675  |    1.04668   .0184613     2.59   0.010     1.011115    1.083497
        676  |   1.120295   .0212585     5.99   0.000     1.079394    1.162745
        677  |   1.128084   .0251154     5.41   0.000     1.079917    1.178399
        678  |   1.171877   .0288908     6.43   0.000     1.116599    1.229893
        679  |   1.196989   .0285772     7.53   0.000     1.142269     1.25433
        680  |   1.139571   .0248914     5.98   0.000     1.091815    1.189417
        681  |   1.175164   .0207693     9.13   0.000     1.135154    1.216584
        682  |    1.11111   .0236822     4.94   0.000     1.065649    1.158509
        683  |          1  (omitted)
             |
       _cons |   82.50455   14.86467    24.49   0.000     57.95872    117.4457
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: _cons estimates baseline incidence rate (conditional on zero random effects).

. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
           . |      2,510         .  -12229.89      75    24609.78   25046.89
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see [R] BIC note.

. 
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/006489466/Dropbox/Depolicing/SubmissionFiles/FergEff/PolicingOX/RnR Round 2/New Analysis Pt
>  2/FergEffTestsCrime.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  19 May 2022, 11:41:18
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
